# Case study: Do we actually know what this should cost?

Source: https://ollie.coach/case-studies/do-we-actually-know-what-this-should-cost
Author: Oliver Fernandez, MBA
Published: 2026-08-21
IT · Enterprise IT organization (anonymized) · Renewal and competitive market test, 2025

A ~$735K annual run rate met a real market for the first time — and the challenger, not the incumbent, won.

## In short

A long-standing unified communications incumbent was approaching renewal against an annual run rate of roughly $735K. Instead of negotiating a discount, IT normalized its own demand, modeled the incumbent against credible alternatives on a total-cost basis, and created a choice it was genuinely prepared to execute. The challenger won, on a business case worth roughly $1.7M over three years.

## Results

- Current run rate: ~$735K (Annual, before the market test)
- Incumbent renewal: ~$371K (Scenario under review)
- Challenger model: ~$422K (Before full normalization)
- Three-year benefit: ~$1.7M

## The service had become invisible

For the IT team, enterprise calling was the kind of technology people noticed mainly when it stopped working.

Thousands of users depended on it. Phone numbers, calling services, emergency calling, support and integrations had become part of the organization's day-to-day infrastructure.

The incumbent knew the environment. The environment knew the incumbent.

That familiarity had value. But it also created a risk that is common with long-running technology relationships: over time, the supplier's price can start to feel like the market price simply because it is the number everyone knows.

> **THE UNCOMFORTABLE QUESTION**
>
> Were we looking at a competitive price — or simply a familiar one?

## Renewal created a deadline, not an answer

The existing agreement was approaching the end of its initial term in June 2025.

IT could have treated that as a conventional renewal: confirm the user population, negotiate a discount, sign the next agreement and move on.

Instead, the team started asking questions months earlier. What would the same requirement cost elsewhere? Would another platform genuinely work at this scale? How much of the current inventory was still needed? And if another supplier looked cheaper, would the apparent savings survive migration, integration and international calling costs?

The goal was not to create competition for its own sake. It was to find out whether the company understood the market at all.

## The first surprise was inside the estate

The review did not begin with supplier quotes. It began with the company's own demand.

The environment included thousands of users and a large number of telephone numbers. Internal analysis also identified thousands of spare DIDs — numbers that existed in the estate but were not necessarily tied to an active business need.

That mattered because a supplier can give you an excellent unit price on something you do not need and still leave you with a poor commercial outcome.

So the requirement itself began to change.

> **THE FIRST DISCOVERY**
>
> Before asking who should supply the service, IT had to decide what service it actually needed.

## Then the market was asked

The team looked beyond the incumbent. Several providers appeared in the early landscape, and the analysis eventually became much more detailed around the incumbent, a leading challenger and a managed alternative.

This was not a benchmark exercise. The team built side-by-side economic models covering recurring charges, different contract terms, migration costs and country-specific calling rates. It modeled transition items such as integration and administration costs rather than pretending a supplier change would be free.

As the alternatives became more concrete, something important happened.

> **THE MARKET DISCOVERY**
>
> The incumbent's price stopped being the reference point. It became one option among several.

## The economics moved dramatically

Internal renewal analysis showed a current annual run rate of approximately $735,000. One incumbent renewal scenario under review was approximately $371,000 per year. The leading challenger was also modeled as a serious alternative, with proposal economics that could be compared against the incumbent rather than discussed abstractly.

The company was no longer debating whether it could negotiate another five or ten percent. It was looking at a market that suggested the old commercial baseline itself might no longer be useful.

| Reference point | Illustrative annual economics from the contemporaneous analysis |
| --- | --- |
| Current annual run rate | ~$735K |
| Incumbent renewal scenario | ~$371K |
| Challenger A proposal model | ~$422K before full normalization of all cost variables |

The numbers were not perfectly comparable on their face — and that was precisely why the analysis mattered.

A cheaper recurring price could be offset by migration or usage costs. A higher headline price could include things another supplier charged separately. The decision needed a total-cost view, not a price list.

## What would you do?

Imagine you are the CIO.

The incumbent is deeply established and has responded with dramatically better renewal economics. A credible challenger has emerged. Switching is possible, but it carries implementation and operational risk.

| Option | Choice |
| --- | --- |
| A | Renew with the incumbent. The price has moved enough to make switching unnecessary. |
| B | Use the competing proposal only as leverage, then stay with the incumbent. |
| C | Choose the lowest modeled annual price and treat the economics as decisive. |
| D | Keep both paths real until the full business case — including demand, migration, usage, term and operational fit — shows which option is genuinely better. |

At what point does a challenger stop being negotiating leverage and become the better business decision?

## What happened

The challenger won.

That outcome is important because it changes the meaning of everything that came before it. The market exercise was not a bluff designed to frighten the incumbent into a discount. The organization had created a choice it was actually prepared to execute.

The contemporaneous business case supported roughly $1.7 million of benefit over three years for the selected path.

But the most useful lesson is not the size of the number. It is how the company became confident enough to make the decision.



## Competition did two jobs

First, it created leverage. Once credible alternatives existed, the incumbent had to respond to something more powerful than a request for a better discount.

But competition did something more important. It created information.

Without another executable option, IT could compare the incumbent only with its own historical price, a benchmark, or an internal target. With a live alternative, the team could compare real commercial structures, implementation implications and supplier economics.

> **THE SHIFT**
>
> Before the market test, the company had a price. After the market test, it had evidence.

## The Parsimoney lesson

This is why Parsimoney treats competition as a form of market discovery, not merely a negotiation tactic.

Benchmarks can tell you where to look. They can suggest that a price is high or low. They can help establish a hypothesis.

But a benchmark cannot promise to take over your service. A credible supplier can.

When a qualified alternative is willing to transact against your real requirement, the organization learns something a benchmark alone cannot tell it: what the market is prepared to do for you, now.

> **COMPETITION DISCOVERS THE MARKET**
>
> The strongest evidence of an attainable market outcome is not what someone says the service should cost. It is what a credible supplier is prepared to deliver it for.

## Why this case matters

Organizations without large procurement teams often assume that competitive bidding is a formal purchasing exercise — useful when policy requires it, but otherwise optional.

That misses the more important reason to ask the market.

If a supplier relationship has been in place for years, internal teams may know the incumbent extremely well and the external market surprisingly poorly.

That is a commercial information problem. And sometimes the only reliable way to solve it is to create a real choice.

## Three questions to take back to your business

| # | Question |
| --- | --- |
| 1 | When was the last time a credible alternative actually priced your real requirement? |
| 2 | If your incumbent offered a 40% reduction tomorrow, would you know whether it was genuinely competitive? |
| 3 | Are your alternatives real enough to choose — or do they exist only in a benchmark deck? |

> **IF YOU REMEMBER ONE THING**
>
> Competition is valuable even before it creates savings, because it replaces assumptions with evidence.

## Before and after

| Measure | Before | After |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Annual run rate | ~$735K | Challenger business case |
| Reference point for price | The incumbent's number | A live, executable alternative |
| Requirement | Inherited inventory | Normalized demand |
| Basis of decision | Benchmark and history | Total-cost evidence |

## Principles applied

- Principle 02: Competition Discovers the Market (https://ollie.coach/blog/competition-discovers-the-market) — The competitive process was not leverage theatre — it was how the organization learned what the market would actually do for it.
- Principle 03: Stop Chasing the Lowest Price (https://ollie.coach/blog/stop-chasing-lowest-price-leap) — The lowest recurring price was not the answer; migration, integration and country-specific calling costs had to be normalized before any figure meant anything.
- Principle 06: Comfort Is Expensive (https://ollie.coach/blog/comfort-is-expensive) — Familiarity with the incumbent had quietly become the reason the price was never questioned.
- Principle 08: A Renewal Date Is Not a Decision Date (https://ollie.coach/blog/renewal-date-is-not-a-decision-date) — The June 2025 term end created a deadline, not an answer — the real work started months earlier.

## FAQ

### Wasn't the incumbent's revised price good enough?

It was dramatically better than the run rate — which is exactly the point. That improvement only appeared once a credible alternative existed, so accepting it without testing the market would have meant never knowing whether it was competitive.

### Couldn't a benchmark have done the same job?

A benchmark can suggest a price looks high. It cannot commit to delivering your service. A qualified supplier pricing your real requirement gives you evidence a benchmark cannot.

### Isn't switching suppliers risky at this scale?

Yes, which is why migration, integration and administration costs were modeled explicitly rather than assumed away. The challenger was only chosen once the total-cost view still favoured it.

Before the market test, the company had a price. After the market test, it had evidence.

Next step: take the Cost Resilience Health Check at https://ollie.coach/health-check
Vocabulary: https://ollie.coach/glossary